\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u201c\u53cd\u590d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u8001\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u8f7b\u89c6\u7684\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u662f\u53f0\u524d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u7ef4\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u8fd0\u8f6c\u7684\u4eba\uff1a\u540e\u52e4\u3001\u7ef4\u4fee\u3001\u60c5\u62a5\u3001\u901a\u4fe1\u3001\u536b\u751f\u3001\u8bb0\u5f55\u3001\u8d28\u68c0\u3001\u5b89\u4fdd\u3001\u57fa\u5c42\u6267\u884c\u3002\u7b49\u51fa\u4e8b\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u624d\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c97\u4f4d\u5176\u5b9e\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e0a\u9650\u548c\u4e0b\u9650\u3002<\/p>\n
\u51e0\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u6a21\u5f0f\uff1a<\/p>\n
\u6218\u4e89\u91cc\u7684\u540e\u52e4\uff1a\u62ff\u7834\u4ed1\u8fdc\u5f81\u4fc4\u56fd\u65f6\uff0c\u5175\u529b\u5e76\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u8f93\u5728\u6218\u6597\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u66f4\u5927\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8f93\u5728\u8865\u7ed9\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u5fa1\u5bd2\u3001\u4f24\u75c5\u5904\u7406\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u7840\u73af\u8282\u3002
\n\u5927\u578b\u5de5\u7a0b\u91cc\u7684\u7ef4\u62a4\u548c\u8d28\u68c0\uff1a\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u6545\u4e0d\u662f\u201c\u4e3b\u8bbe\u8ba1\u201d\u9a6c\u4e0a\u51fa\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u67d0\u4e2a\u5c0f\u800c\u5173\u952e\u7684\u652f\u6301\u73af\u8282\u957f\u671f\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u917f\u6210\u707e\u96be\u3002
\n\u7ec4\u7ec7\u6cbb\u7406\u91cc\u7684\u57fa\u5c42\u4fe1\u606f\uff1a\u4e0a\u9762\u53ea\u542c\u201c\u6c47\u62a5\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u201d\uff0c\u4e0d\u91cd\u89c6\u4e00\u7ebf\u8bb0\u5f55\u3001\u7edf\u8ba1\u3001\u9884\u8b66\u548c\u6d41\u7a0b\u6267\u884c\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u628a\u5c0f\u98ce\u9669\u62d6\u6210\u5927\u5371\u673a\u3002
\n\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u91cc\u7684\u6e05\u6d01\u4e0e\u9632\u75ab\uff1a\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5f88\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u761f\u75ab\u548c\u75be\u75c5\u6269\u6563\uff0c\u90fd\u548c\u6392\u6c61\u3001\u996e\u6c34\u3001\u6d88\u6bd2\u3001\u5de1\u68c0\u7b49\u770b\u4f3c\u4e0d\u8d77\u773c\u7684\u5de5\u4f5c\u6709\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n
\u6240\u4ee5\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4f8b\u5b50\u4e0d\u4f46\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5f88\u6709\u89c4\u5f8b\uff1a\u8d8a\u662f\u88ab\u8ba4\u4e3a\u201c\u8f85\u52a9\u201d\u7684\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u8d8a\u5bb9\u6613\u5728\u5e73\u65f6\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff1b\u8d8a\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u7cfb\u7edf\u8d8a\u8106\u5f31\u3002
\n\u771f\u6b63\u6210\u719f\u7684\u7ec4\u7ec7\uff0c\u5f80\u5f80\u4e0d\u662f\u53ea\u91cd\u89c6\u201c\u660e\u661f\u5c97\u4f4d\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u628a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u7840\u5c97\u4f4d\u5f53\u6210\u6838\u5fc3\u80fd\u529b\u7684\u4e00\u90e8\u5206\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e0b\u9762\u662f\u4e00\u4e9b\u5f88\u5178\u578b\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u5171\u540c\u70b9\u90fd\u662f\uff1a\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u770b\u662f\u201c\u8f85\u52a9\u5c97\u4f4d\u201d\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u7cfb\u7edf\u80fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u6b63\u5e38\u8fd0\u8f6c\u7684\u5173\u952e\u3002<\/p>\n
1. \u62ff\u7834\u4ed1\u8fdc\u5f81\u4fc4\u56fd\uff1a\u540e\u52e4\u88ab\u4f4e\u4f30\uff0c\u519b\u961f\u5d29\u6e83
\n\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u53ea\u8bb0\u5f97\u6218\u573a\u4e0a\u7684\u80dc\u8d1f\uff0c\u4f46\u771f\u6b63\u81f4\u547d\u7684\u662f\u8865\u7ed9\u3001\u8fd0\u8f93\u3001\u5fa1\u5bd2\u3001\u533b\u7597\u8fd9\u4e9b\u540e\u52e4\u73af\u8282\u6ca1\u8ddf\u4e0a\u3002\u519b\u961f\u4e0d\u662f\u8f93\u5728\u67d0\u4e00\u573a\u5927\u6218\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u8f93\u5728\u201c\u5403\u4e0d\u4e0a\u3001\u7a7f\u4e0d\u6696\u3001\u4f24\u75c5\u6ca1\u4eba\u7ba1\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u8f85\u52a9\u7cfb\u7edf\u5931\u7075\u3002<\/p>\n
2. \u6cf0\u5766\u5c3c\u514b\u53f7\uff1a\u6551\u751f\u548c\u5e94\u6025\u673a\u5236\u957f\u671f\u88ab\u8f7b\u89c6
\n\u5f53\u65f6\u4eba\u4eec\u8fc7\u5ea6\u76f8\u4fe1\u8239\u672c\u8eab\u201c\u8db3\u591f\u5148\u8fdb\u201d\uff0c\u5bf9\u6551\u751f\u8247\u3001\u5e94\u6025\u6f14\u7ec3\u3001\u901a\u4fe1\u534f\u8c03\u7b49\u91cd\u89c6\u4e0d\u591f\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u4e8b\u6545\u53d1\u751f\u540e\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u672c\u6765\u80fd\u964d\u4f4e\u4f24\u4ea1\u7684\u8f85\u52a9\u63aa\u65bd\u6ca1\u53d1\u6325\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3b\u7ed3\u6784\u7acb\u523b\u574f\u6389\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u914d\u5957\u4fdd\u969c\u4e0d\u8db3\u653e\u5927\u4e86\u707e\u96be\u3002<\/p>\n
3. \u5207\u5c14\u8bfa\u8d1d\u5229\u4e8b\u6545\uff1a\u503c\u73ed\u3001\u6d41\u7a0b\u3001\u8bb0\u5f55\u548c\u5b89\u5168\u94fe\u6761\u5931\u5b88
\n\u8fd9\u7c7b\u4e8b\u6545\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u201c\u8bbe\u5907\u574f\u4e86\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u64cd\u4f5c\u89c4\u7a0b\u3001\u73b0\u573a\u6c9f\u901a\u3001\u98ce\u9669\u4e0a\u62a5\u3001\u5e94\u6025\u5904\u7f6e\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u8f85\u52a9\u73af\u8282\u51fa\u4e86\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e8b\u6545\u5927\u5c0f\u7684\u4e0d\u662f\u4e3b\u8bbe\u5907\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5468\u8fb9\u7684\u5b89\u5168\u7ba1\u7406\u4f53\u7cfb\u3002<\/p>\n
4. 1986\u5e74\u6311\u6218\u8005\u53f7\u4e8b\u6545\uff1a\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u6c9f\u901a\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6
\n\u6311\u6218\u8005\u53f7\u4e8b\u6545\u91cc\uff0c\u5de5\u7a0b\u5224\u65ad\u3001\u7ba1\u7406\u538b\u529b\u3001\u51b3\u7b56\u6c9f\u901a\u7b49\u73af\u8282\u51fa\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u5f88\u591a\u6280\u672f\u4eba\u5458\u5df2\u7ecf\u610f\u8bc6\u5230\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u4f46\u4fe1\u606f\u6ca1\u6709\u88ab\u771f\u6b63\u542c\u8fdb\u53bb\u3002\u8fd9\u91cc\u9762\u201c\u628a\u6280\u672f\u610f\u89c1\u4f20\u4e0a\u53bb\u5e76\u88ab\u8ba4\u771f\u5bf9\u5f85\u201d\u672c\u8eab\u5c31\u662f\u5173\u952e\u8f85\u52a9\u673a\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n
5. \u4f01\u4e1a\u91cc\u7684\u8d28\u68c0\u548c\u552e\u540e\u88ab\u8f7b\u89c6\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u54c1\u724c\u5d29\u584c
\n\u4e0d\u5c11\u516c\u53f8\u4e00\u5473\u8ffd\u6c42\u9500\u552e\u548c\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u89c9\u5f97\u8d28\u68c0\u3001\u5ba2\u670d\u3001\u4ed3\u50a8\u3001\u552e\u540e\u662f\u201c\u6210\u672c\u4e2d\u5fc3\u201d\u3002\u77ed\u671f\u770b\u5229\u6da6\u4e0a\u53bb\u4e86\uff0c\u957f\u671f\u5374\u56e0\u4e3a\u4ea7\u54c1\u95ee\u9898\u3001\u6295\u8bc9\u79ef\u538b\u3001\u53e3\u7891\u6076\u5316\u800c\u51fa\u5927\u4e8b\u3002\u8868\u9762\u4e0a\u662f\u8f85\u52a9\u90e8\u95e8\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u662f\u5728\u5b88\u4f4f\u5e95\u7ebf\u3002<\/p>\n
6. \u57fa\u5c42\u7edf\u8ba1\u548c\u4fe1\u606f\u4e0a\u62a5\u88ab\u538b\u5236\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u51b3\u7b56\u5931\u771f
\n\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5f88\u591a\u7ec4\u7ec7\u90fd\u6709\u8fd9\u79cd\u6bdb\u75c5\uff1a\u4e0a\u7ea7\u53ea\u60f3\u542c\u201c\u597d\u6d88\u606f\u201d\uff0c\u4e8e\u662f\u57fa\u5c42\u4e0d\u6562\u62a5\u574f\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u6570\u636e\u88ab\u7f8e\u5316\uff0c\u98ce\u9669\u6162\u6162\u79ef\u7d2f\u3002\u7b49\u5230\u95ee\u9898\u7206\u53d1\u65f6\uff0c\u5df2\u7ecf\u6765\u4e0d\u53ca\u8865\u6551\u3002\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u53ea\u662f\u6587\u4e66\u3001\u62a5\u8868\u3001\u6c47\u603b\u8fd9\u4e9b\u201c\u5c0f\u4e8b\u201d\uff0c\u5176\u5b9e\u662f\u5728\u7ed9\u51b3\u7b56\u63d0\u4f9b\u773c\u775b\u3002<\/p>\n
7. \u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f\u4e2d\u6e05\u6d01\u3001\u6392\u6c61\u3001\u6d88\u6bd2\u957f\u671f\u4e0d\u88ab\u91cd\u89c6
\n\u5728\u5f88\u591a\u57ce\u5e02\u53d1\u5c55\u53f2\u91cc\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u51cf\u5c11\u75be\u75c5\u4f20\u64ad\u7684\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u6700\u8000\u773c\u7684\u533b\u5b66\u7a81\u7834\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u4f9b\u6c34\u3001\u6392\u6c61\u3001\u5783\u573e\u5904\u7406\u3001\u536b\u751f\u5de1\u68c0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u57fa\u7840\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002\u5b83\u4eec\u7ecf\u5e38\u88ab\u5f53\u6210\u201c\u810f\u6d3b\u7d2f\u6d3b\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u6ca1\u6709\u5b83\u4eec\uff0c\u6574\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e02\u90fd\u4f1a\u66f4\u8106\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n
8. \u6218\u4e89\u4e2d\u7684\u901a\u4fe1\u5175\u3001\u5de5\u5175\u3001\u7ef4\u4fee\u5175
\n\u524d\u7ebf\u51b2\u950b\u6700\u663e\u773c\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u4fe1\u4e00\u65ad\u3001\u6865\u6881\u4e00\u6bc1\u3001\u88c5\u5907\u6ca1\u4eba\u4fee\uff0c\u90e8\u961f\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u4f1a\u5931\u53bb\u534f\u540c\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u5f88\u591a\u5931\u8d25\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u58eb\u5175\u4e0d\u52c7\u6562\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u201c\u770b\u4e0d\u89c1\u7684\u5c97\u4f4d\u201d\u6ca1\u4eba\u91cd\u89c6\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e00\u53e5\u8bdd\u603b\u7ed3\uff1a
\n\u4e3b\u89d2\u5c97\u4f4d\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0a\u9650\uff0c\u8f85\u52a9\u5c97\u4f4d\u51b3\u5b9a\u4e0b\u9650\u3002
\n\u5f88\u591a\u5927\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u201c\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u90a3\u4e2a\u4eba\u201d\u72af\u4e86\u9519\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u90a3\u4e9b\u5e73\u65f6\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u4e0d\u663e\u773c\u7684\u5c97\u4f4d\u88ab\u957f\u671f\u5ffd\u7565\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5f80\u5f80\u662f\u201c\u53cd\u590d\u51fa\u73b0\u7684\u8001\u95ee\u9898\u201d\u3002 \u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\uff0c\u6700\u5bb9\u6613\u88ab\u8f7b\u89c6\u7684\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u662f\u53f0\u524d\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u90a3\u4e9b\u7ef4\u6301\u7cfb\u7edf\u8fd0\u8f6c\u7684\u4eba\uff1a\u540e\u52e4\u3001\u7ef4\u4fee\u3001\u60c5\u62a5\u3001\u901a\u4fe1\u3001\u536b\u751f\u3001\u8bb0\u5f55\u3001\u8d28\u68c0\u3001\u5b89\u4fdd\u3001\u57fa\u5c42\u6267\u884c\u3002\u7b49\u51fa\u4e8b\u65f6\uff0c\u4eba\u4eec\u624d\u53d1\u73b0\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5c97\u4f4d\u5176\u5b9e\u51b3\u5b9a… <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[15],"tags":[58,53,60,64,76,81],"class_list":["post-16897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-work","tag-complex-systems-theory","tag-systems-thinking","tag-historical-lessons-and-patterns","tag-theory-of-war-and-strategy","tag-fundamentals-of-management","tag-antifragility"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack-related-posts":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=16897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=16897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=16897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/opgogo.com\/blog2\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=16897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}